RE: ARLA/CLUSTER: Surpreendente aumento continuo do numero de licenças no Reino Unido

[João Gonçalves Costa]

Mau caro José Machado (CT1BAT),

A minha surpresa, afinal partilhada, era como é que diminuindo anteriormente o n.º de exames de aptidão em 17%, o numero de licenças continuava a aumentar continuamente.

Uma simples leitura do livro sobre estatística e a sua interpretação do Pedro Miguel Ramos " Torturem os Números que Eles Confessam - Sobre o mau uso e abuso das Estatísticas em Portugal, e não só" diz muito desta como de outras temáticas conexas.

João Costa (CT1FBF)

-----Mensagem original-----
De: cluster-bounces  radio-amador.net [mailto:cluster-bounces  radio-amador.net] Em nome de CT1BAT
Enviada: quarta-feira, 3 de Abril de 2013 15:26
Para: 'Resumo Noticioso ARLA/CLUSTER'
Assunto: RE: ARLA/CLUSTER: Surpreendente aumento continuo do numero de licenças no Reino Unido

Não é o que diz a RSGB: "Fall in UK amateur radio exams: The February 16 RSGB board proceedings report the number of exam entrants was 17% lower than the same period last year "
Lá como cá é a eterna guerra dos números ou das fontes.
Mas, como nós dizemos, mesmo "poucos mas bons!"
Abraços
José Machado-CT1BAT

-----Mensagem original-----
De: cluster-bounces  radio-amador.net [mailto:cluster-bounces  radio-amador.net] Em nome de João Costa > CT1FBF
Enviada: 3 de abril de 2013 13:29
Para: Cluster-ARLA
Assunto: ARLA/CLUSTER: Surpreendente aumento continuo do numero de licenças no Reino Unido

Have any UK Amateur Radio Licences expired ?

Ofcom amateur radio licence statistics released this week appear to show a continuing rise in the number of UK amateur radio licences.

Ofcom's April statistics, which cover up until the end of March, show a grand total of 80658 licences against a figure for the previous month of 80357. There are approximately 2400 passes in the different grades of amateur radio exams each year so the increase for the month appears to be in line with the expected new licences issued for that month.

On March 14 a response to a Freedom of Information Request stated that "Ofcom have not carried out another extension." [of the licence]

If as Ofcom say the licences haven't been automatically extended then it seems surprising that the numbers continue to increase.

The five year amateur radio licence was introduced in December 2006 and issued automatically to all current licence holders e.g. those who had taken out or renewed a licence from January 2006. It was later automatically extended by a year because of the 2012 Olympic Games. As a result it was expected that a large number of licences should have expired from December 2012. It is believed over 500 UK radio amateurs die each year and those who passed away in 2006/7/8/9 are unlikely to have renewed their licence.

See Ofcom's latest amateur radio licence statistics at http://licensing.ofcom.org.uk/radiocommunication-licences/
amateur-radio/guidance-for-licensees/monthly-stats/

March - UK amateur radio licences fail to expire http://www.southgatearc.org/news/march2013/
uk_amateur_radio_licences_fail_to_expire.htm

How many UK Radio Hams are there ?
http://www.southgatearc.org/news/november2012/
how_many_uk_radio_hams_are_there.htm

Fall in UK amateur radio exams
http://www.southgatearc.org/news/april2013/
fall_in_uk_amateur_radio_exams.htm